第一轮的结果可能是你想要的，而第二、第三轮的结果可能正好相反。因此只关注第一轮结果（人们往往会这样做）会引导你做坏的决定。举个例子，如果你问我想不想没有阴雨天，不考虑第二和第三轮结果的情况下，我很可能会说好的。
The outcome you get as a first-order consequence might be desirable, while the second- or third-order consequences could be the opposite. So focusing solely on first-order consequences, which people tend to do, can lead bad decision making. For example, if you asked me if I’d like to not have rainy days, I probably would say yes if I didn’t consider the second- and third-order consequences.
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