赶紧趁着还没完全过时把上周末录得播客转发一下。

目前原党内二号人物斯卡利斯以113：99击败了吉姆·乔丹赢下党内的议长提名。然而，目前共和党诸多议员跳出来反对斯卡利斯，尚不知斯卡利斯能否锁定当选议长所必须的217票。
美国政府关门危机暂时缓解，议长麦卡锡却成了美国史上第一位被赶下台的议长。
【聊了什么】
在短短几天时间内，美国政坛最大的危机从政府长期关门转变为议长凯文·麦卡锡被罢免。这两场危机折射出美国政治生态怎样的变化？陷入停摆的众议院将何去何从？
【支持我们】
如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：
众筹平台链接：www.patreon.com/americanroulette
合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]
【时间轴】
00:58 国会拨款程序如何让美国政府频频陷入关门危机
06:19 今年拨款案的核心矛盾
09:43 关门危机如何从两党矛盾演变成共和党内斗
23:47 “委员会中心主义”
25:37 两党的不对称极化和政府关门对民意的影响
39:35 麦卡锡的命运从2022中期选举就注定了
49:55 麦卡锡和极右翼议员的恩恩怨怨
54:43 麦卡锡去意已决？
01:11:43 未来议长选举的分析和预测
01:24:17 弱势议长的未来
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者
曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
寄馀生：比较政治爱好者
本期节目由小华制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是小华。美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。
【 What We Talked About】
Within just a few days, the biggest crisis in U.S. politics shifted from a potential prolonged government shutdown to the ousting of Speaker Kevin McCarthy. What do these two crises reveal about the changes in the American political landscape? And what lies ahead for the gridlocked House of Representatives?
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]
【Timeline】
00:58 How the congressional appropriation process leads to the frequent shutdown crisis of the U.S. Government
06:19 The focus of this year's appropriation bills
09:43 How the shutdown crisis evolved from a conflict between the two parties to infighting within the Republican Party
23:47 “Committee autonomy”
25:37 Asymmetric polarization and how public opinion reacts to government shutdowns
39:35 Speaker McCarthy's fate was sealed in the 2022 midterm elections
49:55 The love-hate affair between McCarthy and far-right Republicans
54:43 Had McCarthy already made up his mind to leave?
01:11:43 Analysis and predictions for the incoming speaker elections
01:24:17 The future of a weak speakership
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.
In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”
Our Hosts and Guests:
Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast
曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast
This episode is produced by Xiao Hua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Xiao Hua. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.
【拓展链接 The Links】
从政府关门危机到议长被罢免：美国国会陷入了怎样的失灵状况？｜端传媒
Inside McCarthy’s Shutdown Turnabout That Left His Speakership at Risk - The New York Times
往期回顾

从政府关门危机到议长被罢免：美国国会陷入了怎样的失灵状况？
播客推广：美轮美换2024版第二期——“非主流候选人”崛起和反建制潮流
播客推广：美轮美换2024版第一期——四年一度的美国轮盘赌又开局了
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