干货分享！给你一点西雅图房地产近期走势的小思路～

First, let us do a quick reality check. Housing marketslowdown is here around Seattle Metro area, and it will stay with us for aforeseeable future. Sellers are slashing listing prices and buyers start takingwait and see strategy. It may be a disappointed news for real estate investorsthat hope to obtain double digits gain year over year.

首先，让我们做一个快速的现实情况分析。在西雅图大都市区周边，房地产市场已经开始放缓，在可预见的未来，这一情况还将继续存在：卖家正在大幅降价，买家则展开观望策略。对于希望年复一年实现两位数增长的房地产投资者来说，这可能是一个令人失望的消息。

1993-2018年5-9月金县独立屋中位价格趋势图

然而，经济数据始终显示，大西雅图地区经济将保持增长，这一直是支撑强劲住房市场的源源动力。尽管房地产市场趋于平稳，但业内专家认为，西雅图都市区房市并没有失去其良好的发展势头。

Seattle metro will continue to see population growth due to a strong tech sector anddiverse economy. Enticing geography and diverse recreation opportunities areattracting more new residents at twice the national average.

由于强大的技术部门和多样化的经济，西雅图都市区预计将保持目前人口净流入的态势。优越的地理位置和多样化的娱乐选择仍然吸引更多的新居民迁居到大西雅图地区，这里的人口增长速度是全国平均水平的两倍。

Therefore, investors need not to be panic.  Opportunities are still abundant to achievehealthy returns by diversifying and targeting your real estate investments.

因此，投资者着实不必对此存在恐慌。通过多样化和精准定位的房地产投资，获得健康回报的机会仍然很多。

近日，西雅图市议会初步批准了华盛顿大学将其西雅图校区扩建为“创新区”的发展计划。这个计划需要一处面积达600万平方英尺的新建筑，来容纳另外7000多名学生和员工。据城市规划委员会预计，华盛顿大学将增加数百套住房，以实现将通勤学生减少至当前的12%的目标。这对于大学区以及周边市中心地区的多户住宅投资者来说，是一个令人振奋的好消息。

华盛顿大学西雅图校区周边发展计划图

As both sellers and buyers start pressing pause buttonthanks to market cool down, rental units will see higher demand to meet housingneeds of continuous influx of IT workers and migration of population into thecity. Predictively, high rents will give multifamily properties investors an excellentROI throughout 2018 and 2019.

由于市场正在降温、买卖双方都开始“按下暂停键”，租赁业务正开始走向火热，毕竟持续涌入本地的IT工作者和其他人群的住房需求需要得到满足。在2018年至2019年期间，预计租金将继续走高，从而给多户住宅房产投资者带来不错的投资回报率。

近5年来，西雅图都市区新建apartment户型总量大幅上升

西雅图地区房屋租金中位价格呈直线上升态势

The Seattle Times reports that Seattle and Bellevue areexperiencing a “condo comeback.”   According to the stats compiled by theSeattle Times, only around 2000 condos were built in Seattle in the last 10years.  However, developers have plannedto build approximately 6,000 condos in Seattle and Bellevue for the next a fewyears.  This change was largely due todevelopers moving projects of apartments to condos.

Millennials are gradually becoming the country’s biggest groupof home buyers, according to Pew Research Center.  Millennials are lot more informed buyers thantheir parents. They want a good value in their real estate investments. Theypay attention to eco-friendliness. They want a sense of community, connectivityand inclusiveness.  They prefer to be ina close proximity to culturally rich areas. Condos living just happen to be thenext best thing to allow millennials start on homeowner’s path and to be partof hustle and bustle urban living.

2015-2019年Belltown/Downtowncondo户型季度售价走势图

Besides, extra demand may also come from Asian studenthousing buyers. According to a report by The Oregonian, Twenty building innortheast Portland expect to offer up to 45 of the 162 units to buyers fromcountries that include China, Japan and Singapore. A condominium building underconstruction in Portland is planning to market more than a quarter of its unitsto Asian buyers.

此外，亚洲学生的购房需求也可能增加。根据《俄勒冈人报》的一份报告显示，位于波特兰东北部的20幢建筑的开发商计划将162套公寓中的45套销售给来自中国、日本和新加坡等国的买家，而当地另一座在建的condo公寓楼也计划将四分之一以上的房屋单位销售给亚洲买家。

With the last boom in real estate market, the average homeprices in Seattle and surrounding cities have spiked to a level beyond manypotential home buyers can reach.  Evenwith a good job and raised minimum wages locally, many Seattle families arepriced out of home ownerships.

随着上一次房地产市场的繁荣，西雅图及周边城市的平均房价已经飙升到了许多潜在购房者无法企及的水平。即使有了一份好工作、最低工资得到提高，许多本地家庭仍因高昂的房价而无法购买得起一套住房。

Seattle has been trying to rezone neighborhoods to make wayfor more density through a mandatory housing affordability plan. The city evenstarted testing policies in selling public lands to real estate developers at adiscount to encourage constructions of affordable housing. We believe that thistrend can possibly present a unique opportunity to real estate investors.

为了解决问题，西雅图试图通过一项强制性住房负担计划对社区进行重新分区，以使高密度人口社区能够得到一定的分散。此外，该市还开始试行向房地产开发商打折出售公共土地的政策，以鼓励建设保障性住房。我们认为，这种趋势可能为房地产投资者提供一个独特的机会。

Also，VancouverBritish Columbia recently passed tax laws targeting foreign investors, whichdrove a mass of Asian and other International buyers down south looking forbetter ROI opportunities.  Seattle andneighboring cities, naturally become their top destinations.

此外，不列颠哥伦比亚省温哥华最近通过了针对外国投资者的新税法，这迫使大量亚洲买家和其他国际买家南下寻找更好的投资回报机会。西雅图和邻近城市自然成为他们的首选目的地。

西雅图已经进入了秋季，冬季即将来临。然而，西雅图的寒冷却从来不会持续太久，西雅图及其周边地区的房地产市场也是如此。

Given the ever-growinglocal economy and rapid influx of highly paid IT workers and new-comers, thedemand for rental, condos, or single-family housings remains intact.  To be successful in real estate investments,you need to be patient and be carefully planning your decisions.

考虑到当地经济的不断增长，以及高薪IT工作者和其他人群的迅速涌入，人们对租赁业务、condo型公寓或独立屋的需求将依然保持稳定。要想在房地产投资中获得成功，你需要有耐心，并仔细规划你的决定。

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